**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, known as the Habagat, are the dominant driver keeping Manila's peak temperature near 32°C on August 23.** Official PAGASA observations for the 24-hour period ending 4 PM that day recorded a maximum of 31.5°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds, which limit surface heating despite the tropical setting. Multiple forecast models and agency outlooks converged on daytime highs of 30–32°C, consistent with Manila’s climatological August average of 31°C and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of high humidity and frequent convection. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 32°C reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent, though a brief clearing trend allowing greater insolation or localized data revisions could still shift the final recorded maximum by a degree.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のマニラの最高気温は?
32°C 99.8%
33℃ <1%
25°C以下 <1%
26°C <1%
$24,739 Vol.
$24,739 Vol.
25°C以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35°C以上
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33℃ <1%
25°C以下 <1%
26°C <1%
$24,739 Vol.
$24,739 Vol.
25°C以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, known as the Habagat, are the dominant driver keeping Manila's peak temperature near 32°C on August 23.** Official PAGASA observations for the 24-hour period ending 4 PM that day recorded a maximum of 31.5°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds, which limit surface heating despite the tropical setting. Multiple forecast models and agency outlooks converged on daytime highs of 30–32°C, consistent with Manila’s climatological August average of 31°C and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of high humidity and frequent convection. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 32°C reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent, though a brief clearing trend allowing greater insolation or localized data revisions could still shift the final recorded maximum by a degree.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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