Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and high humidity levels around 85-95%, are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Manila and anchoring the daily minimum temperature near 27-28°C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 28.1°C low early on August 23, while multiple forecast models project nighttime readings of 26-28°C amid fresh southwesterly winds. These factors align with the market's strong 73% implied probability for a 28°C low, as historical August averages near 25-26°C are being exceeded due to suppressed diurnal temperature ranges under monsoon cloud cover. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing could still influence final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のマニラの最低気温は?
28°C 91%
23℃ 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
21°C以下
1%
22°C
1%
23℃
28%
24℃
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
28°C 91%
23℃ 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
21°C以下
1%
22°C
1%
23℃
28%
24℃
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and high humidity levels around 85-95%, are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Manila and anchoring the daily minimum temperature near 27-28°C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 28.1°C low early on August 23, while multiple forecast models project nighttime readings of 26-28°C amid fresh southwesterly winds. These factors align with the market's strong 73% implied probability for a 28°C low, as historical August averages near 25-26°C are being exceeded due to suppressed diurnal temperature ranges under monsoon cloud cover. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing could still influence final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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