PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 24 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions that deliver scattered rains and high humidity, anchoring trader consensus around those levels while the spread across 24–28°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact minimums. Persistent cloud cover from the monsoon limits nocturnal radiative cooling, often elevating minimum temperatures compared to drier periods, though localized thunderstorms or brief wind shifts can enhance cooling and push readings lower. Urban heat island effects in Manila further moderate extremes, keeping values close to the seasonal 24–27°C baseline. With resolution tied to official PAGASA or airport station data, traders monitor the next updated model runs and 24-hour public forecasts for shifts in rain timing or intensity that could alter the overnight low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のマニラの最低気温は?
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27℃ 28%
24℃ 26%
21℃以下
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
25%
24℃
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27℃
28%
28℃
26%
29°C
25%
30℃
7%
31°C以上
-
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27℃ 28%
24℃ 26%
21℃以下
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
25%
24℃
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27℃
28%
28℃
26%
29°C
25%
30℃
7%
31°C以上
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 24 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions that deliver scattered rains and high humidity, anchoring trader consensus around those levels while the spread across 24–28°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact minimums. Persistent cloud cover from the monsoon limits nocturnal radiative cooling, often elevating minimum temperatures compared to drier periods, though localized thunderstorms or brief wind shifts can enhance cooling and push readings lower. Urban heat island effects in Manila further moderate extremes, keeping values close to the seasonal 24–27°C baseline. With resolution tied to official PAGASA or airport station data, traders monitor the next updated model runs and 24-hour public forecasts for shifts in rain timing or intensity that could alter the overnight low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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