Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows centered in the 78–82 °F range, consistent with late-August climatology where the average minimum is near 78–80 °F. With no strong frontal passages or unusual wind shifts expected, trader probabilities cluster on 78–81 °F outcomes because subtle differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer moisture will determine how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clearer skies allow greater longwave radiation loss and lower minima, while persistent low-level humidity or scattered convection limits cooling and keeps readings closer to 81 °F. Short-term model runs continue to show only modest spread in 2-m temperatures, supporting the tight market distribution between the two leading bins and the lower odds assigned to more extreme departures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月24日のマイアミの最低気温は？
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 31%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
1%
86〜87°F
2%
88°F以上
2%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 31%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
31%
80-81°F
$147 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$79 Vol.
1%
86〜87°F
$5 Vol.
2%
88°F以上
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows centered in the 78–82 °F range, consistent with late-August climatology where the average minimum is near 78–80 °F. With no strong frontal passages or unusual wind shifts expected, trader probabilities cluster on 78–81 °F outcomes because subtle differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer moisture will determine how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clearer skies allow greater longwave radiation loss and lower minima, while persistent low-level humidity or scattered convection limits cooling and keeps readings closer to 81 °F. Short-term model runs continue to show only modest spread in 2-m temperatures, supporting the tight market distribution between the two leading bins and the lower odds assigned to more extreme departures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
音量
$251終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows centered in the 78–82 °F range, consistent with late-August climatology where the average minimum is near 78–80 °F. With no strong frontal passages or unusual wind shifts expected, trader probabilities cluster on 78–81 °F outcomes because subtle differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer moisture will determine how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clearer skies allow greater longwave radiation loss and lower minima, while persistent low-level humidity or scattered convection limits cooling and keeps readings closer to 81 °F. Short-term model runs continue to show only modest spread in 2-m temperatures, supporting the tight market distribution between the two leading bins and the lower odds assigned to more extreme departures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$251終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows centered in the 78–82 °F range, consistent with late-August climatology where the average minimum is near 78–80 °F. With no strong frontal passages or unusual wind shifts expected, trader probabilities cluster on 78–81 °F outcomes because subtle differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer moisture will determine how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clearer skies allow greater longwave radiation loss and lower minima, while persistent low-level humidity or scattered convection limits cooling and keeps readings closer to 81 °F. Short-term model runs continue to show only modest spread in 2-m temperatures, supporting the tight market distribution between the two leading bins and the lower odds assigned to more extreme departures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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