Recent model runs from Environment Canada highlight uncertainty in Toronto’s overnight minimum for August 24, with forecasts clustering near 11–13 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover expected through the night. These conditions modulate radiative cooling rates, while light southerly flow limits cold-air advection from the north. Historical August minima average near 17 °C, so current guidance reflects a cooler-than-normal air mass; however, timing of any clearing skies or heavier rain bands could shift the low by several degrees. The near-even market split between 12 °C and sub-10 °C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model guidance later today will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のトロントの最低気温は?
9℃以下 60%
18°C 48%
12°C 41%
10℃ 35%
9℃以下
60%
10℃
35%
11℃
35%
12°C
41%
13°C
24%
14°C
28%
15℃
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
25%
18°C
48%
19℃以上
2%
9℃以下 60%
18°C 48%
12°C 41%
10℃ 35%
9℃以下
60%
10℃
35%
11℃
35%
12°C
41%
13°C
24%
14°C
28%
15℃
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
25%
18°C
48%
19℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs from Environment Canada highlight uncertainty in Toronto’s overnight minimum for August 24, with forecasts clustering near 11–13 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover expected through the night. These conditions modulate radiative cooling rates, while light southerly flow limits cold-air advection from the north. Historical August minima average near 17 °C, so current guidance reflects a cooler-than-normal air mass; however, timing of any clearing skies or heavier rain bands could shift the low by several degrees. The near-even market split between 12 °C and sub-10 °C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model guidance later today will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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