Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and regional sources indicate a daytime high near 33°C for Beijing on August 24, with scattered clouds, light winds, and possible brief thunderstorms limiting further warming. High humidity from recent regional moisture will enhance the heat index while afternoon convection may cap peak readings, keeping most outcomes clustered between 32–34°C. Historical August averages near 30°C and the date’s 33.9°C record provide context, but current steering patterns and model consensus favor the narrower range reflected in trader positioning. Updated forecasts and real-time observations ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の北京の最高気温は?
33°C 31%
32°C 22%
34℃ 17%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
31%
34℃
17%
35°C
6%
36℃
4%
37℃以上
3%
33°C 31%
32°C 22%
34℃ 17%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
31%
34℃
17%
35°C
6%
36℃
4%
37℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and regional sources indicate a daytime high near 33°C for Beijing on August 24, with scattered clouds, light winds, and possible brief thunderstorms limiting further warming. High humidity from recent regional moisture will enhance the heat index while afternoon convection may cap peak readings, keeping most outcomes clustered between 32–34°C. Historical August averages near 30°C and the date’s 33.9°C record provide context, but current steering patterns and model consensus favor the narrower range reflected in trader positioning. Updated forecasts and real-time observations ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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