**Clear skies, northwesterly flow, and a building ridge are positioning Wellington for a mild winter day on August 24, 2026, with forecast highs centered on 14–15°C.** Multiple models and official outlooks indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions under northwest winds of 15–20 knots, supporting daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 15°C (54.0% implied probability) and 16°C (28.5%), as dry air and solar insolation during the ~11-hour daylight window allow the mercury to reach or slightly exceed seasonal norms. Current observations show recent days running 1–2°C above the long-term August average high (~13–14°C), with no incoming fronts or southerly changes expected to cool the region before the daily maximum. Forecasters highlight consistent GFS/ECMWF agreement on peak readings near 14–15°C (roughly 57–59°F) around midday to early afternoon, with low uncertainty from model spread. The tight clustering around these values reflects traders incorporating the stable synoptic pattern and absence of disruptive variables, while lower-probability tails (below 14°C or 17°C+) align with the narrow forecast envelope typical for a well-resolved short-range winter event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月24日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 54%
16°C 26%
14°C 10%
17°C 7%
新規
$16,870 Vol.
新規
$16,870 Vol.
2026/08/24
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
54%
16°C
26%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 54%
16°C 26%
14°C 10%
17°C 7%
新規
$16,870 Vol.
新規
$16,870 Vol.
2026/08/24
9°C or below
$364 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$572 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$881 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,696 Vol.
10%
15°C
$4,254 Vol.
54%
16°C
$3,406 Vol.
26%
17°C
$2,795 Vol.
7%
18°C
$796 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, northwesterly flow, and a building ridge are positioning Wellington for a mild winter day on August 24, 2026, with forecast highs centered on 14–15°C.** Multiple models and official outlooks indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions under northwest winds of 15–20 knots, supporting daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 15°C (54.0% implied probability) and 16°C (28.5%), as dry air and solar insolation during the ~11-hour daylight window allow the mercury to reach or slightly exceed seasonal norms.
Current observations show recent days running 1–2°C above the long-term August average high (~13–14°C), with no incoming fronts or southerly changes expected to cool the region before the daily maximum. Forecasters highlight consistent GFS/ECMWF agreement on peak readings near 14–15°C (roughly 57–59°F) around midday to early afternoon, with low uncertainty from model spread. The tight clustering around these values reflects traders incorporating the stable synoptic pattern and absence of disruptive variables, while lower-probability tails (below 14°C or 17°C+) align with the narrow forecast envelope typical for a well-resolved short-range winter event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$16,870終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, northwesterly flow, and a building ridge are positioning Wellington for a mild winter day on August 24, 2026, with forecast highs centered on 14–15°C.** Multiple models and official outlooks indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions under northwest winds of 15–20 knots, supporting daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 15°C (54.0% implied probability) and 16°C (28.5%), as dry air and solar insolation during the ~11-hour daylight window allow the mercury to reach or slightly exceed seasonal norms.
Current observations show recent days running 1–2°C above the long-term August average high (~13–14°C), with no incoming fronts or southerly changes expected to cool the region before the daily maximum. Forecasters highlight consistent GFS/ECMWF agreement on peak readings near 14–15°C (roughly 57–59°F) around midday to early afternoon, with low uncertainty from model spread. The tight clustering around these values reflects traders incorporating the stable synoptic pattern and absence of disruptive variables, while lower-probability tails (below 14°C or 17°C+) align with the narrow forecast envelope typical for a well-resolved short-range winter event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$16,870終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Clear skies, northwesterly flow, and a building ridge are positioning Wellington for a mild winter day on August 24, 2026, with forecast highs centered on 14–15°C.** Multiple models and official outlooks indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions under northwest winds of 15–20 knots, supporting daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 15°C (54.0% implied probability) and 16°C (28.5%), as dry air and solar insolation during the ~11-hour daylight window allow the mercury to reach or slightly exceed seasonal norms. Current observations show recent days running 1–2°C above the long-term August average high (~13–14°C), with no incoming fronts or southerly changes expected to cool the region before the daily maximum. Forecasters highlight consistent GFS/ECMWF agreement on peak readings near 14–15°C (roughly 57–59°F) around midday to early afternoon, with low uncertainty from model spread. The tight clustering around these values reflects traders incorporating the stable synoptic pattern and absence of disruptive variables, while lower-probability tails (below 14°C or 17°C+) align with the narrow forecast envelope typical for a well-resolved short-range winter event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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