Wellington's overnight minimum on August 24 is currently forecast near 7–11 °C under mainly fine conditions with light northwesterlies shifting southerly, according to Metservice and Met Office guidance. Clear skies overnight would promote radiative cooling and push readings toward the lower end of that range, while any increase in wind or cloud cover would moderate temperatures. This uncertainty, set against August climatology of roughly 9 °C average lows, underpins the market-implied 40 % probability on 5 °C or below and the clustered odds around 7–10 °C. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8月24日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
5°C or below 80%
9°C 28%
10°C 28%
7°C 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
5°C or below
80%
6°C
27%
7°C
28%
8°C
28%
9°C
28%
10°C
28%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
5°C or below 80%
9°C 28%
10°C 28%
7°C 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
5°C or below
$5 Vol.
80%
6°C
$0 Vol.
27%
7°C
$0 Vol.
28%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$5 Vol.
26%
12°C
$6 Vol.
26%
13°C
$5 Vol.
7%
14°C
$5 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's overnight minimum on August 24 is currently forecast near 7–11 °C under mainly fine conditions with light northwesterlies shifting southerly, according to Metservice and Met Office guidance. Clear skies overnight would promote radiative cooling and push readings toward the lower end of that range, while any increase in wind or cloud cover would moderate temperatures. This uncertainty, set against August climatology of roughly 9 °C average lows, underpins the market-implied 40 % probability on 5 °C or below and the clustered odds around 7–10 °C. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$36終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's overnight minimum on August 24 is currently forecast near 7–11 °C under mainly fine conditions with light northwesterlies shifting southerly, according to Metservice and Met Office guidance. Clear skies overnight would promote radiative cooling and push readings toward the lower end of that range, while any increase in wind or cloud cover would moderate temperatures. This uncertainty, set against August climatology of roughly 9 °C average lows, underpins the market-implied 40 % probability on 5 °C or below and the clustered odds around 7–10 °C. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$36終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETWellington's overnight minimum on August 24 is currently forecast near 7–11 °C under mainly fine conditions with light northwesterlies shifting southerly, according to Metservice and Met Office guidance. Clear skies overnight would promote radiative cooling and push readings toward the lower end of that range, while any increase in wind or cloud cover would moderate temperatures. This uncertainty, set against August climatology of roughly 9 °C average lows, underpins the market-implied 40 % probability on 5 °C or below and the clustered odds around 7–10 °C. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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