Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highlight persistent high pressure and clear skies driving dangerous heat, with official guidance centering on a peak near 104–105°F amid a broader Central Texas heat wave featuring multiple days above 100°F. This positions the closely matched 104–105°F (44.5%) and 106–107°F (49.5%) bins as the primary outcomes, reflecting minor differences in model consensus on maximum insolation, afternoon mixing depth, and any stray cloud interference that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°F. Historical August baselines around 100°F underscore how current subsidence and low dew points amplify surface heating, with resolution hinging on official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のオースティンの最高気温は?
106〜107°F 50%
104~105°F 45%
102~103°F 3%
108~109°F 2.4%
$18,737 Vol.
$18,737 Vol.
95°F以下
<1%
96〜97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
100~101°F
1%
102~103°F
3%
104~105°F
45%
106〜107°F
50%
108~109°F
2%
110~111°F
<1%
112~113°F
<1%
114°F以上
<1%
106〜107°F 50%
104~105°F 45%
102~103°F 3%
108~109°F 2.4%
$18,737 Vol.
$18,737 Vol.
95°F以下
<1%
96〜97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
100~101°F
1%
102~103°F
3%
104~105°F
45%
106〜107°F
50%
108~109°F
2%
110~111°F
<1%
112~113°F
<1%
114°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highlight persistent high pressure and clear skies driving dangerous heat, with official guidance centering on a peak near 104–105°F amid a broader Central Texas heat wave featuring multiple days above 100°F. This positions the closely matched 104–105°F (44.5%) and 106–107°F (49.5%) bins as the primary outcomes, reflecting minor differences in model consensus on maximum insolation, afternoon mixing depth, and any stray cloud interference that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°F. Historical August baselines around 100°F underscore how current subsidence and low dew points amplify surface heating, with resolution hinging on official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問