**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C on August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast.** This system is driving increased cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms, with south to southwest winds at force 4–5 occasionally stronger offshore. Persistent convection and higher rainfall probability reduce solar insolation and promote localized evaporative cooling, limiting peak daytime temperatures compared to clearer conditions. Recent model consensus and historical August baselines near 31°C support the leading 31°C outcome (36.5%), while close trailing probabilities for 30°C and 32°C reflect uncertainty in precipitation timing, intensity, and any brief sunny breaks that could allow brief warming. Traders are weighting these dynamic factors, with resolution tied to the official HKO daily maximum at the Observatory station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の香港の最高気温は?
31°C 36%
30°C 30%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
$13,933 Vol.
$13,933 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
13%
30°C
30%
31°C
36%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 36%
30°C 30%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
$13,933 Vol.
$13,933 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
13%
30°C
30%
31°C
36%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C on August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast.** This system is driving increased cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms, with south to southwest winds at force 4–5 occasionally stronger offshore. Persistent convection and higher rainfall probability reduce solar insolation and promote localized evaporative cooling, limiting peak daytime temperatures compared to clearer conditions. Recent model consensus and historical August baselines near 31°C support the leading 31°C outcome (36.5%), while close trailing probabilities for 30°C and 32°C reflect uncertainty in precipitation timing, intensity, and any brief sunny breaks that could allow brief warming. Traders are weighting these dynamic factors, with resolution tied to the official HKO daily maximum at the Observatory station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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