Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の香港の最高気温は?
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$251,161 Vol.
$251,161 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$251,161 Vol.
$251,161 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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