**Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other agencies point to a stable late-summer pattern over southern England, with high pressure supporting sunny intervals and light winds that limit daytime heating.** This setup positions 21–22 °C as the consensus range for London’s maximum temperature on August 24, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (37 % and 47 % implied probability). Current observations on August 23 show highs near 21–24 °C under partly cloudy skies, with overnight lows in the low teens that allow modest recovery the next day. Model guidance indicates little change in the steering flow or cloud cover through the 24th, keeping peak readings from climbing into the mid-20s or dropping below 20 °C. The modest probability mass at 23 °C (11.5 %) captures the small upside risk if sunshine proves more persistent, while tail outcomes below 20 °C or above 24 °C remain low because climatological August averages sit near 22 °C and no significant frontal systems or anomalous advection are expected. Traders are effectively pricing the latest official forecast consensus, which has shown only minor day-to-day adjustments in the past 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月24日のロンドンの最高気温は？
22°C 47%
21°C 37%
23°C 12%
20°C 7%
新規
$17,582 Vol.
新規
$17,582 Vol.
2026/08/24
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
37%
22°C
47%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 37%
23°C 12%
20°C 7%
新規
$17,582 Vol.
新規
$17,582 Vol.
2026/08/24
17°C or below
$375 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$804 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,568 Vol.
7%
21°C
$1,536 Vol.
37%
22°C
$4,850 Vol.
47%
23°C
$1,631 Vol.
12%
24°C
$2,771 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,568 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$710 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other agencies point to a stable late-summer pattern over southern England, with high pressure supporting sunny intervals and light winds that limit daytime heating.** This setup positions 21–22 °C as the consensus range for London’s maximum temperature on August 24, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (37 % and 47 % implied probability).
Current observations on August 23 show highs near 21–24 °C under partly cloudy skies, with overnight lows in the low teens that allow modest recovery the next day. Model guidance indicates little change in the steering flow or cloud cover through the 24th, keeping peak readings from climbing into the mid-20s or dropping below 20 °C.
The modest probability mass at 23 °C (11.5 %) captures the small upside risk if sunshine proves more persistent, while tail outcomes below 20 °C or above 24 °C remain low because climatological August averages sit near 22 °C and no significant frontal systems or anomalous advection are expected. Traders are effectively pricing the latest official forecast consensus, which has shown only minor day-to-day adjustments in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
音量
$17,582終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other agencies point to a stable late-summer pattern over southern England, with high pressure supporting sunny intervals and light winds that limit daytime heating.** This setup positions 21–22 °C as the consensus range for London’s maximum temperature on August 24, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (37 % and 47 % implied probability).
Current observations on August 23 show highs near 21–24 °C under partly cloudy skies, with overnight lows in the low teens that allow modest recovery the next day. Model guidance indicates little change in the steering flow or cloud cover through the 24th, keeping peak readings from climbing into the mid-20s or dropping below 20 °C.
The modest probability mass at 23 °C (11.5 %) captures the small upside risk if sunshine proves more persistent, while tail outcomes below 20 °C or above 24 °C remain low because climatological August averages sit near 22 °C and no significant frontal systems or anomalous advection are expected. Traders are effectively pricing the latest official forecast consensus, which has shown only minor day-to-day adjustments in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$17,582終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET**Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other agencies point to a stable late-summer pattern over southern England, with high pressure supporting sunny intervals and light winds that limit daytime heating.** This setup positions 21–22 °C as the consensus range for London’s maximum temperature on August 24, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (37 % and 47 % implied probability). Current observations on August 23 show highs near 21–24 °C under partly cloudy skies, with overnight lows in the low teens that allow modest recovery the next day. Model guidance indicates little change in the steering flow or cloud cover through the 24th, keeping peak readings from climbing into the mid-20s or dropping below 20 °C. The modest probability mass at 23 °C (11.5 %) captures the small upside risk if sunshine proves more persistent, while tail outcomes below 20 °C or above 24 °C remain low because climatological August averages sit near 22 °C and no significant frontal systems or anomalous advection are expected. Traders are effectively pricing the latest official forecast consensus, which has shown only minor day-to-day adjustments in the past 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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