Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 17–18 °C for London on 25 August under high pressure, with clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling after daytime maxima around 25 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–17 °C reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, alongside historical late-August climatology where minima average 14–15 °C but have trended warmer in recent years. Key variables remain the precise timing of any Atlantic front and urban heat-island effects, with updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF expected before market resolution to refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のロンドンの最低気温は?
17°C 39%
16°C 31%
15℃ 15%
18°C 10%
11°C以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15℃
15%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
10%
19℃
9%
20°C
1%
21°C以上
1%
17°C 39%
16°C 31%
15℃ 15%
18°C 10%
11°C以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15℃
15%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
10%
19℃
9%
20°C
1%
21°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 17–18 °C for London on 25 August under high pressure, with clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling after daytime maxima around 25 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–17 °C reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, alongside historical late-August climatology where minima average 14–15 °C but have trended warmer in recent years. Key variables remain the precise timing of any Atlantic front and urban heat-island effects, with updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF expected before market resolution to refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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