Forecast uncertainty in ensemble models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF centers around subtle differences in high-pressure strength and Atlantic frontal timing, producing a tight cluster of possible maxima near 22–23°C for London on August 25. Late-August climatology places the daily high average at roughly 22°C, so traders are pricing the narrow spread between typical conditions and modest positive anomalies driven by daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1°C and the precise location of official observations, which incorporate urban effects. New model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月25日のロンドンの最高気温は？
22°C 30%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
24°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
17%
22°C
30%
23°C
27%
24°C
17%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
24°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
17°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$235 Vol.
3%
20°C
$343 Vol.
8%
21°C
$297 Vol.
17%
22°C
$211 Vol.
30%
23°C
$92 Vol.
27%
24°C
$360 Vol.
17%
25°C
$192 Vol.
8%
26°C
$80 Vol.
4%
27°C or higher
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in ensemble models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF centers around subtle differences in high-pressure strength and Atlantic frontal timing, producing a tight cluster of possible maxima near 22–23°C for London on August 25. Late-August climatology places the daily high average at roughly 22°C, so traders are pricing the narrow spread between typical conditions and modest positive anomalies driven by daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1°C and the precise location of official observations, which incorporate urban effects. New model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$2,008終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in ensemble models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF centers around subtle differences in high-pressure strength and Atlantic frontal timing, producing a tight cluster of possible maxima near 22–23°C for London on August 25. Late-August climatology places the daily high average at roughly 22°C, so traders are pricing the narrow spread between typical conditions and modest positive anomalies driven by daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1°C and the precise location of official observations, which incorporate urban effects. New model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,008終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast uncertainty in ensemble models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF centers around subtle differences in high-pressure strength and Atlantic frontal timing, producing a tight cluster of possible maxima near 22–23°C for London on August 25. Late-August climatology places the daily high average at roughly 22°C, so traders are pricing the narrow spread between typical conditions and modest positive anomalies driven by daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1°C and the precise location of official observations, which incorporate urban effects. New model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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