Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature of 13–15°C for London on August 24, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds of 10–15 km/h that limit extreme drops. High pressure maintains mild conditions with dew points near 10–12°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows reach about 13.5°C. Model consensus favors 14°C as the most probable outcome, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1°C. Updated runs overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のロンドンの最低気温は?
14°C 42%
13℃ 27%
15℃ 12%
12℃ 5%
10℃以下
1%
11°C
2%
12℃
5%
13℃
27%
14°C
42%
15℃
12%
16°C
4%
17℃
2%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
14°C 42%
13℃ 27%
15℃ 12%
12℃ 5%
10℃以下
1%
11°C
2%
12℃
5%
13℃
27%
14°C
42%
15℃
12%
16°C
4%
17℃
2%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature of 13–15°C for London on August 24, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds of 10–15 km/h that limit extreme drops. High pressure maintains mild conditions with dew points near 10–12°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows reach about 13.5°C. Model consensus favors 14°C as the most probable outcome, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1°C. Updated runs overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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