National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 23, 2026, call for a daily high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and limited cloud cover amid an ongoing late-August heat wave. This setup supports market-implied odds favoring the 100-101°F bin at 48% over 98-99°F at 41%, as model consensus and recent observations align on peak temperatures in that narrow range while heat indices exceed 105°F. Minor uncertainties in exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight variations in dew points could shift the official reading between bins, with updates from monitoring stations expected throughout the afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
100〜101°F 61%
98〜99°F 41%
102〜103°F 6%
96~97°F 4.5%
$31,900 Vol.
$31,900 Vol.
93°F以下
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96~97°F
5%
98〜99°F
41%
100〜101°F
48%
102〜103°F
6%
104~105°F
<1%
106~107°F
<1%
108〜109°F
<1%
110~111°F
<1%
112°F以上
<1%
100〜101°F 61%
98〜99°F 41%
102〜103°F 6%
96~97°F 4.5%
$31,900 Vol.
$31,900 Vol.
93°F以下
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96~97°F
5%
98〜99°F
41%
100〜101°F
48%
102〜103°F
6%
104~105°F
<1%
106~107°F
<1%
108〜109°F
<1%
110~111°F
<1%
112°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 23, 2026, call for a daily high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and limited cloud cover amid an ongoing late-August heat wave. This setup supports market-implied odds favoring the 100-101°F bin at 48% over 98-99°F at 41%, as model consensus and recent observations align on peak temperatures in that narrow range while heat indices exceed 105°F. Minor uncertainties in exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight variations in dew points could shift the official reading between bins, with updates from monitoring stations expected throughout the afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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