Persistent heat across southeast Texas, with daytime highs forecast near 100–104°F and elevated dew points near 70°F, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning the minimum temperature in Houston near 78–79°F on August 23. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance converge on an overnight low of 78–80°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with the market’s leading 62% implied probability for that range. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 74–76°F, but the current anomalous warmth—driven by a strong subtropical ridge—has kept recent lows 3–5°F above average. Limited model spread and absence of a reinforcing cold front before the 24th reduce the chance of sharper drops, though any unexpected cloud cover or convective outflow could nudge readings slightly lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のヒューストンの最低気温は？
8月23日のヒューストンの最低気温は？
71°F以下 77%
72〜73°F 64%
74〜75°F 33%
76〜77°F 33%
$1,722 Vol.
$1,722 Vol.
2026/08/23
71°F以下
77%
72〜73°F
64%
74〜75°F
33%
76〜77°F
33%
78〜79°F
-
80～81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84～85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
華氏90度以上
<1%
71°F以下 77%
72〜73°F 64%
74〜75°F 33%
76〜77°F 33%
$1,722 Vol.
$1,722 Vol.
2026/08/23
71°F以下
$10 Vol.
77%
72〜73°F
$20 Vol.
64%
74〜75°F
$3 Vol.
33%
76〜77°F
$3 Vol.
33%
78〜79°F
$213 Vol.
-
80～81°F
$249 Vol.
<1%
82〜83°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
84～85°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
86〜87°F
$143 Vol.
<1%
88〜89°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
華氏90度以上
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across southeast Texas, with daytime highs forecast near 100–104°F and elevated dew points near 70°F, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning the minimum temperature in Houston near 78–79°F on August 23. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance converge on an overnight low of 78–80°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with the market’s leading 62% implied probability for that range. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 74–76°F, but the current anomalous warmth—driven by a strong subtropical ridge—has kept recent lows 3–5°F above average. Limited model spread and absence of a reinforcing cold front before the 24th reduce the chance of sharper drops, though any unexpected cloud cover or convective outflow could nudge readings slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,722終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across southeast Texas, with daytime highs forecast near 100–104°F and elevated dew points near 70°F, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning the minimum temperature in Houston near 78–79°F on August 23. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance converge on an overnight low of 78–80°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with the market’s leading 62% implied probability for that range. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 74–76°F, but the current anomalous warmth—driven by a strong subtropical ridge—has kept recent lows 3–5°F above average. Limited model spread and absence of a reinforcing cold front before the 24th reduce the chance of sharper drops, though any unexpected cloud cover or convective outflow could nudge readings slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,722終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETPersistent heat across southeast Texas, with daytime highs forecast near 100–104°F and elevated dew points near 70°F, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning the minimum temperature in Houston near 78–79°F on August 23. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance converge on an overnight low of 78–80°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with the market’s leading 62% implied probability for that range. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 74–76°F, but the current anomalous warmth—driven by a strong subtropical ridge—has kept recent lows 3–5°F above average. Limited model spread and absence of a reinforcing cold front before the 24th reduce the chance of sharper drops, though any unexpected cloud cover or convective outflow could nudge readings slightly lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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