Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 23°C for Munich on August 24 under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. This positioning reflects the typical late-August cooling trend in southern Germany, where average highs decline from July peaks near 23–25°C, combined with post-heatwave stabilization after earlier August readings reached 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes modest daytime warming without significant frontal systems or Alpine influences that could push temperatures higher or trigger convective cooling. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus thus favors the narrow band near seasonal norms, with limited scope for outliers absent major forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
24°C 38%
23°C 26%
22°C 13%
25°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
26%
24°C
38%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
23°C 26%
22°C 13%
25°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
26%
24°C
38%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 23°C for Munich on August 24 under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. This positioning reflects the typical late-August cooling trend in southern Germany, where average highs decline from July peaks near 23–25°C, combined with post-heatwave stabilization after earlier August readings reached 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes modest daytime warming without significant frontal systems or Alpine influences that could push temperatures higher or trigger convective cooling. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus thus favors the narrow band near seasonal norms, with limited scope for outliers absent major forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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