Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional observations indicate light to moderate rain or thundershowers over Lucknow on August 24 amid active monsoon conditions, which favor daytime cloud cover and evaporative cooling that typically caps maximum temperatures near 33–34°C. Recent days have recorded highs of 32–33°C with high humidity levels (75–97%) and scattered rainfall, consistent with climatological norms for late August in the Indo-Gangetic plain where monsoon steering patterns suppress extreme heat. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 33°C, aligns with model guidance emphasizing these moderating effects over clearer, hotter scenarios that would push readings to 35°C or above. Updated IMD briefings and real-time observatory data on the 24th remain the key near-term resolution drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
33°C 42%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 42%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional observations indicate light to moderate rain or thundershowers over Lucknow on August 24 amid active monsoon conditions, which favor daytime cloud cover and evaporative cooling that typically caps maximum temperatures near 33–34°C. Recent days have recorded highs of 32–33°C with high humidity levels (75–97%) and scattered rainfall, consistent with climatological norms for late August in the Indo-Gangetic plain where monsoon steering patterns suppress extreme heat. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 33°C, aligns with model guidance emphasizing these moderating effects over clearer, hotter scenarios that would push readings to 35°C or above. Updated IMD briefings and real-time observatory data on the 24th remain the key near-term resolution drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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