Ongoing monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered around 26-28°C for August 25. These factors suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation and limiting clear-sky heat loss, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower surface readings. Recent IMD observations show similar overnight lows of 25-28°C amid steady rainfall, aligning trader consensus on these narrow bands amid minor model differences in precipitation timing and intensity. Historical August baselines near 27°C further anchor expectations, with resolution hinging on the exact extent of overnight showers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
32°C or higher 39%
27°C 32%
28°C 32%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
32%
29°C
25%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
39%
32°C or higher 39%
27°C 32%
28°C 32%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$130 Vol.
2%
23°C
$25 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$140 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered around 26-28°C for August 25. These factors suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation and limiting clear-sky heat loss, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower surface readings. Recent IMD observations show similar overnight lows of 25-28°C amid steady rainfall, aligning trader consensus on these narrow bands amid minor model differences in precipitation timing and intensity. Historical August baselines near 27°C further anchor expectations, with resolution hinging on the exact extent of overnight showers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$305End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered around 26-28°C for August 25. These factors suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation and limiting clear-sky heat loss, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower surface readings. Recent IMD observations show similar overnight lows of 25-28°C amid steady rainfall, aligning trader consensus on these narrow bands amid minor model differences in precipitation timing and intensity. Historical August baselines near 27°C further anchor expectations, with resolution hinging on the exact extent of overnight showers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$305End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered around 26-28°C for August 25. These factors suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation and limiting clear-sky heat loss, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower surface readings. Recent IMD observations show similar overnight lows of 25-28°C amid steady rainfall, aligning trader consensus on these narrow bands amid minor model differences in precipitation timing and intensity. Historical August baselines near 27°C further anchor expectations, with resolution hinging on the exact extent of overnight showers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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