Official forecasts from the Met Office and complementary models converge on a daytime maximum of 26°C for London on August 1, driven by sunny intervals, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit both daytime heating and overnight cooling. This aligns with broader southeast UK patterns of near- or slightly above-average warmth amid a changeable but largely settled spell. Ensemble guidance shows low dispersion around this value, with only modest upside risk from localized solar enhancement or downside from unexpected showers. Traders price the 26°C outcome highest because it matches verified observational baselines and current model consensus, while adjacent bins capture residual forecast spread. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact peak within the narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日伦敦气温最高？
8月1日伦敦气温最高？
26°C 67%
25°C 20%
27°C 13%
24°C 2%
最新
$53,452 交易量
最新
$53,452 交易量
2026-08-01
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
20%
26°C
67%
27°C
13%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 67%
25°C 20%
27°C 13%
24°C 2%
最新
$53,452 交易量
最新
$53,452 交易量
2026-08-01
21°C or below
$526 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,752 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,695 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,689 交易量
2%
25°C
$10,020 交易量
20%
26°C
$6,713 交易量
67%
27°C
$5,584 交易量
13%
28°C
$7,647 交易量
1%
29°C
$1,719 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,787 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$3,320 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and complementary models converge on a daytime maximum of 26°C for London on August 1, driven by sunny intervals, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit both daytime heating and overnight cooling. This aligns with broader southeast UK patterns of near- or slightly above-average warmth amid a changeable but largely settled spell. Ensemble guidance shows low dispersion around this value, with only modest upside risk from localized solar enhancement or downside from unexpected showers. Traders price the 26°C outcome highest because it matches verified observational baselines and current model consensus, while adjacent bins capture residual forecast spread. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact peak within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$53,452结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and complementary models converge on a daytime maximum of 26°C for London on August 1, driven by sunny intervals, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit both daytime heating and overnight cooling. This aligns with broader southeast UK patterns of near- or slightly above-average warmth amid a changeable but largely settled spell. Ensemble guidance shows low dispersion around this value, with only modest upside risk from localized solar enhancement or downside from unexpected showers. Traders price the 26°C outcome highest because it matches verified observational baselines and current model consensus, while adjacent bins capture residual forecast spread. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact peak within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,452结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Met Office and complementary models converge on a daytime maximum of 26°C for London on August 1, driven by sunny intervals, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit both daytime heating and overnight cooling. This aligns with broader southeast UK patterns of near- or slightly above-average warmth amid a changeable but largely settled spell. Ensemble guidance shows low dispersion around this value, with only modest upside risk from localized solar enhancement or downside from unexpected showers. Traders price the 26°C outcome highest because it matches verified observational baselines and current model consensus, while adjacent bins capture residual forecast spread. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact peak within the narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题