Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 1 project a daily maximum near 28°C under thundery showers, elevated humidity, and northeasterly flow that limits insolation and promotes cloud cover over the region. These conditions align with short-term model consensus showing reduced diurnal heating compared to the 31°C August climatological average, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context without overriding the day's unsettled pattern. Trader-implied odds cluster on 28–29°C because fresh model runs emphasize persistent moisture and precipitation timing as the dominant variables, with limited upside for warmer outcomes absent unexpected clearing. Upcoming official observations and any late forecast revisions remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日香港气温最高？
8月1日香港气温最高？
28°C 62%
29°C 23%
27°C 13%
30°C 4.7%
最新
$88,084 交易量
最新
$88,084 交易量
2026-08-01
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
13%
28°C
62%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 62%
29°C 23%
27°C 13%
30°C 4.7%
最新
$88,084 交易量
最新
$88,084 交易量
2026-08-01
22°C or below
$676 交易量
<1%
23°C
$666 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,669 交易量
<1%
25°C
$15,175 交易量
<1%
26°C
$13,695 交易量
<1%
27°C
$9,876 交易量
13%
28°C
$8,667 交易量
62%
29°C
$14,063 交易量
23%
30°C
$10,537 交易量
5%
31°C
$5,176 交易量
4%
32°C or higher
$5,884 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 1 project a daily maximum near 28°C under thundery showers, elevated humidity, and northeasterly flow that limits insolation and promotes cloud cover over the region. These conditions align with short-term model consensus showing reduced diurnal heating compared to the 31°C August climatological average, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context without overriding the day's unsettled pattern. Trader-implied odds cluster on 28–29°C because fresh model runs emphasize persistent moisture and precipitation timing as the dominant variables, with limited upside for warmer outcomes absent unexpected clearing. Upcoming official observations and any late forecast revisions remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$88,084结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 1 project a daily maximum near 28°C under thundery showers, elevated humidity, and northeasterly flow that limits insolation and promotes cloud cover over the region. These conditions align with short-term model consensus showing reduced diurnal heating compared to the 31°C August climatological average, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context without overriding the day's unsettled pattern. Trader-implied odds cluster on 28–29°C because fresh model runs emphasize persistent moisture and precipitation timing as the dominant variables, with limited upside for warmer outcomes absent unexpected clearing. Upcoming official observations and any late forecast revisions remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$88,084结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 1 project a daily maximum near 28°C under thundery showers, elevated humidity, and northeasterly flow that limits insolation and promotes cloud cover over the region. These conditions align with short-term model consensus showing reduced diurnal heating compared to the 31°C August climatological average, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context without overriding the day's unsettled pattern. Trader-implied odds cluster on 28–29°C because fresh model runs emphasize persistent moisture and precipitation timing as the dominant variables, with limited upside for warmer outcomes absent unexpected clearing. Upcoming official observations and any late forecast revisions remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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