Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 2 high temperature clusters tightly around 26–28 °C because current ensemble forecasts show substantial cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a weak monsoon trough limiting daytime heating. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping maxima several degrees below the early-August climatological mean of ~31 °C. Model spread remains modest, with small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts able to tip the peak between 26 °C and 28 °C. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles will update overnight, potentially narrowing the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日香港气温最高？
8月2日香港气温最高？
27°C 34%
28°C 33%
26°C 24%
29°C 10%
最新
$15,307 交易量
最新
$15,307 交易量
2026-08-02
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
24%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
28°C 33%
26°C 24%
29°C 10%
最新
$15,307 交易量
最新
$15,307 交易量
2026-08-02
21°C or below
$394 交易量
<1%
22°C
$562 交易量
<1%
23°C
$643 交易量
<1%
24°C
$542 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,471 交易量
2%
26°C
$2,421 交易量
24%
27°C
$2,211 交易量
34%
28°C
$1,514 交易量
33%
29°C
$1,304 交易量
10%
30°C
$1,317 交易量
4%
31°C or higher
$1,929 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 2 high temperature clusters tightly around 26–28 °C because current ensemble forecasts show substantial cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a weak monsoon trough limiting daytime heating. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping maxima several degrees below the early-August climatological mean of ~31 °C. Model spread remains modest, with small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts able to tip the peak between 26 °C and 28 °C. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles will update overnight, potentially narrowing the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$15,307结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 2 high temperature clusters tightly around 26–28 °C because current ensemble forecasts show substantial cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a weak monsoon trough limiting daytime heating. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping maxima several degrees below the early-August climatological mean of ~31 °C. Model spread remains modest, with small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts able to tip the peak between 26 °C and 28 °C. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles will update overnight, potentially narrowing the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,307结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 2 high temperature clusters tightly around 26–28 °C because current ensemble forecasts show substantial cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a weak monsoon trough limiting daytime heating. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping maxima several degrees below the early-August climatological mean of ~31 °C. Model spread remains modest, with small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts able to tip the peak between 26 °C and 28 °C. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles will update overnight, potentially narrowing the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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