Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日纽约市最高气温？
7月31日纽约市最高气温？
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$71,332 交易量
$71,332 交易量
2026-07-31
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$71,332 交易量
$71,332 交易量
2026-07-31
75°F or below
$757 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$906 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$2,167 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$7,633 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$8,691 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$19,323 交易量
100%
86-87°F
$12,421 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$10,262 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$2,586 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$2,801 交易量
<1%
94°F or higher
$3,785 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$71,332结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$71,332结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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