Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently project a Central Park high in the mid-80s Fahrenheit for August 1, positioning the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins as the clear market leaders with combined implied probability near 75%. This aligns with the long-term August average of 83°F while reflecting slightly above-normal warmth signaled in the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook. Key variables include a stable high-pressure ridge promoting modest daytime heating, light winds, and dew points that limit extreme mixing or cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only minor adjustments expected from the final morning update before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日纽约市的最高温度？
8月1日纽约市的最高温度？
84-85°F 45%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 9%
最新
$19,461 交易量
最新
$19,461 交易量
2026-08-01
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 45%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 9%
最新
$19,461 交易量
最新
$19,461 交易量
2026-08-01
75°F or below
$190 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$453 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$420 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,454 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$3,151 交易量
16%
84-85°F
$5,660 交易量
45%
86-87°F
$3,174 交易量
30%
88-89°F
$2,955 交易量
9%
90-91°F
$1,240 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$408 交易量
<1%
94°F or higher
$356 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently project a Central Park high in the mid-80s Fahrenheit for August 1, positioning the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins as the clear market leaders with combined implied probability near 75%. This aligns with the long-term August average of 83°F while reflecting slightly above-normal warmth signaled in the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook. Key variables include a stable high-pressure ridge promoting modest daytime heating, light winds, and dew points that limit extreme mixing or cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only minor adjustments expected from the final morning update before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$19,461结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently project a Central Park high in the mid-80s Fahrenheit for August 1, positioning the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins as the clear market leaders with combined implied probability near 75%. This aligns with the long-term August average of 83°F while reflecting slightly above-normal warmth signaled in the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook. Key variables include a stable high-pressure ridge promoting modest daytime heating, light winds, and dew points that limit extreme mixing or cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only minor adjustments expected from the final morning update before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,461结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently project a Central Park high in the mid-80s Fahrenheit for August 1, positioning the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins as the clear market leaders with combined implied probability near 75%. This aligns with the long-term August average of 83°F while reflecting slightly above-normal warmth signaled in the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook. Key variables include a stable high-pressure ridge promoting modest daytime heating, light winds, and dew points that limit extreme mixing or cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only minor adjustments expected from the final morning update before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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