Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 1 maximum temperature centers on competing model runs showing highs near 31–33°C, with 32°C holding the narrowest edge due to persistent high humidity and scattered convective showers. Summer monsoon flow over the Pearl River Delta typically delivers afternoon thunderstorm activity that limits peak solar heating and caps temperatures below the 34–35°C tail, while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes to 33°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but recent days have featured widespread cloud cover and rainfall that suppress daily maxima by 1–2°C relative to climatology. Updated regional forecasts from official monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日广州气温最高?
31°C 71%
32°C 23%
33°C 5.1%
34°C 2.3%
$42,623 交易量
$42,623 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
71%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 71%
32°C 23%
33°C 5.1%
34°C 2.3%
$42,623 交易量
$42,623 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
71%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 1 maximum temperature centers on competing model runs showing highs near 31–33°C, with 32°C holding the narrowest edge due to persistent high humidity and scattered convective showers. Summer monsoon flow over the Pearl River Delta typically delivers afternoon thunderstorm activity that limits peak solar heating and caps temperatures below the 34–35°C tail, while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes to 33°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but recent days have featured widespread cloud cover and rainfall that suppress daily maxima by 1–2°C relative to climatology. Updated regional forecasts from official monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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