Recent numerical weather models highlight a combination of high solar insolation and limited afternoon convection in Panama City's tropical wet season as the main driver pushing the implied probability toward 33°C for the August 2 maximum. With climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C, current guidance shows a window for brief clearing that could allow temperatures to climb several degrees above the seasonal norm before typical thunderstorms develop. Market positioning reflects traders weighting these short-term forecast shifts more heavily than longer-term ENSO influences, while acknowledging model spread on exact timing and moisture return. Updated runs from regional agencies in the next 24 hours remain the key upcoming data point that could refine or shift these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月2日巴拿马城气温最高？
33°C 40%
31°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
19%
33°C
40%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
33°C 40%
31°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
27°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
28°C
$10 交易量
2%
29°C
$20 交易量
6%
30°C
$20 交易量
6%
31°C
$20 交易量
25%
32°C
$20 交易量
19%
33°C
$25 交易量
40%
34°C
$20 交易量
3%
35°C
$20 交易量
3%
36°C
$10 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models highlight a combination of high solar insolation and limited afternoon convection in Panama City's tropical wet season as the main driver pushing the implied probability toward 33°C for the August 2 maximum. With climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C, current guidance shows a window for brief clearing that could allow temperatures to climb several degrees above the seasonal norm before typical thunderstorms develop. Market positioning reflects traders weighting these short-term forecast shifts more heavily than longer-term ENSO influences, while acknowledging model spread on exact timing and moisture return. Updated runs from regional agencies in the next 24 hours remain the key upcoming data point that could refine or shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$185结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models highlight a combination of high solar insolation and limited afternoon convection in Panama City's tropical wet season as the main driver pushing the implied probability toward 33°C for the August 2 maximum. With climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C, current guidance shows a window for brief clearing that could allow temperatures to climb several degrees above the seasonal norm before typical thunderstorms develop. Market positioning reflects traders weighting these short-term forecast shifts more heavily than longer-term ENSO influences, while acknowledging model spread on exact timing and moisture return. Updated runs from regional agencies in the next 24 hours remain the key upcoming data point that could refine or shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$185结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent numerical weather models highlight a combination of high solar insolation and limited afternoon convection in Panama City's tropical wet season as the main driver pushing the implied probability toward 33°C for the August 2 maximum. With climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C, current guidance shows a window for brief clearing that could allow temperatures to climb several degrees above the seasonal norm before typical thunderstorms develop. Market positioning reflects traders weighting these short-term forecast shifts more heavily than longer-term ENSO influences, while acknowledging model spread on exact timing and moisture return. Updated runs from regional agencies in the next 24 hours remain the key upcoming data point that could refine or shift these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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