Trader consensus favors a daily maximum of 32°C or 33°C in Panama City on August 1 because climatological baselines place August highs near 29°C, yet recent model guidance and observed warmth from late July have shifted implied probabilities toward modest positive anomalies. Key differentiating factors include variable convective cloud cover that can suppress or enhance afternoon peaks by 1–2°C, the precise siting of official observations (typically Tocumen International Airport), and urban heat-island effects. With leading outcomes separated by only 6 percentage points, small revisions in steering winds, humidity profiles, or timing of any showers can readily tip the final reading between 31°C and 33°C. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama guidance and real-time station data through the afternoon will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月1日巴拿马城气温最高？
32°C 41%
33°C 35%
31°C 19%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C
41%
33°C
35%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 41%
33°C 35%
31°C 19%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
26°C或以下
$484 交易量
<1%
27°C
$310 交易量
<1%
28°C
$162 交易量
<1%
29°C
$220 交易量
1%
30°C
$237 交易量
5%
31°C
$510 交易量
19%
32°C
$508 交易量
41%
33°C
$941 交易量
35%
34°C
$281 交易量
6%
35°C
$158 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$160 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a daily maximum of 32°C or 33°C in Panama City on August 1 because climatological baselines place August highs near 29°C, yet recent model guidance and observed warmth from late July have shifted implied probabilities toward modest positive anomalies. Key differentiating factors include variable convective cloud cover that can suppress or enhance afternoon peaks by 1–2°C, the precise siting of official observations (typically Tocumen International Airport), and urban heat-island effects. With leading outcomes separated by only 6 percentage points, small revisions in steering winds, humidity profiles, or timing of any showers can readily tip the final reading between 31°C and 33°C. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama guidance and real-time station data through the afternoon will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,970结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a daily maximum of 32°C or 33°C in Panama City on August 1 because climatological baselines place August highs near 29°C, yet recent model guidance and observed warmth from late July have shifted implied probabilities toward modest positive anomalies. Key differentiating factors include variable convective cloud cover that can suppress or enhance afternoon peaks by 1–2°C, the precise siting of official observations (typically Tocumen International Airport), and urban heat-island effects. With leading outcomes separated by only 6 percentage points, small revisions in steering winds, humidity profiles, or timing of any showers can readily tip the final reading between 31°C and 33°C. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama guidance and real-time station data through the afternoon will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,970结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTrader consensus favors a daily maximum of 32°C or 33°C in Panama City on August 1 because climatological baselines place August highs near 29°C, yet recent model guidance and observed warmth from late July have shifted implied probabilities toward modest positive anomalies. Key differentiating factors include variable convective cloud cover that can suppress or enhance afternoon peaks by 1–2°C, the precise siting of official observations (typically Tocumen International Airport), and urban heat-island effects. With leading outcomes separated by only 6 percentage points, small revisions in steering winds, humidity profiles, or timing of any showers can readily tip the final reading between 31°C and 33°C. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama guidance and real-time station data through the afternoon will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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