Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日伦敦最低气温？
8月3日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 30%
19°C 25%
20°C 19%
17°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
11%
17°C
16%
18°C
30%
19°C
25%
20°C
19%
21°C
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
1%
18°C 30%
19°C 25%
20°C 19%
17°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
14°C或以下
$42 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
8%
16°C
$0 交易量
11%
17°C
$0 交易量
16%
18°C
$0 交易量
30%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$0 交易量
19%
21°C
$10 交易量
9%
22°C
$37 交易量
1%
23°C
$32 交易量
1%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$120结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$120结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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