Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific high advecting warm, moist air, underpin market-implied odds clustering around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 1 maximum, with 39°C leading at 37%. Coastal moderation from the East Sea, potential afternoon sea breezes, variable cloud cover, and minor ensemble model differences in peak timing and insolation create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and recent regional records near 38.8°C inform trader assessments of intensification potential versus localized cooling, while the day’s resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日釜山气温最高?
39°C 42%
38°C 27%
40°C 24%
37℃ 6%
$43,058 交易量
$43,058 交易量
36°C或以下
<1%
37℃
6%
38°C
27%
39°C
42%
40°C
24%
41°C
4%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C或以上
<1%
39°C 42%
38°C 27%
40°C 24%
37℃ 6%
$43,058 交易量
$43,058 交易量
36°C或以下
<1%
37℃
6%
38°C
27%
39°C
42%
40°C
24%
41°C
4%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific high advecting warm, moist air, underpin market-implied odds clustering around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 1 maximum, with 39°C leading at 37%. Coastal moderation from the East Sea, potential afternoon sea breezes, variable cloud cover, and minor ensemble model differences in peak timing and insolation create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and recent regional records near 38.8°C inform trader assessments of intensification potential versus localized cooling, while the day’s resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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