Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日釜山气温最高？
8月2日釜山气温最高？
37°C 37%
36°C或以下 33%
38°C 22%
39°C 11%
最新
$29,222 交易量
最新
$29,222 交易量
2026-08-02
36°C或以下
33%
37°C
37%
38°C
22%
39°C
11%
40°C
<1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C或更高
<1%
37°C 37%
36°C或以下 33%
38°C 22%
39°C 11%
最新
$29,222 交易量
最新
$29,222 交易量
2026-08-02
36°C或以下
$6,765 交易量
33%
37°C
$3,474 交易量
37%
38°C
$4,642 交易量
22%
39°C
$5,312 交易量
11%
40°C
$2,569 交易量
<1%
41°C
$2,688 交易量
1%
42°C
$1,565 交易量
<1%
43°C
$1,289 交易量
<1%
44°C
$282 交易量
<1%
45°C
$318 交易量
<1%
46°C或更高
$318 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$29,222结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,222结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETOngoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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