Traders see 33°C and 34°C as nearly equally likely for Kuala Lumpur’s August 2 maximum because short-range ensemble models show only modest spread around the seasonal average of 31–33°C. Equatorial monsoon conditions, light steering winds, and typical afternoon convective development create uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally depending on cloud cover timing. Official guidance from Malaysian meteorological sources and global models like ECMWF and GFS currently cluster near these values, with resolution hinging on whether scattered thunderstorms arrive before or after the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日吉隆坡气温最高?
33°C 41%
34°C 38%
32°C 18%
31°C 4%
$15,933 交易量
$15,933 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
41%
34°C
38%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 41%
34°C 38%
32°C 18%
31°C 4%
$15,933 交易量
$15,933 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
41%
34°C
38%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see 33°C and 34°C as nearly equally likely for Kuala Lumpur’s August 2 maximum because short-range ensemble models show only modest spread around the seasonal average of 31–33°C. Equatorial monsoon conditions, light steering winds, and typical afternoon convective development create uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally depending on cloud cover timing. Official guidance from Malaysian meteorological sources and global models like ECMWF and GFS currently cluster near these values, with resolution hinging on whether scattered thunderstorms arrive before or after the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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