Persistent late-July heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating, aligned official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus on a daily maximum near 102–103°F at Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game trader consensus on verified observational data rather than earlier model spreads that briefly allowed for 104°F. Historical climatology shows July 31 averages near 97°F but routinely exceeds 100°F under similar patterns, with minimal day-to-day variability once the ridge locks in. Only an unexpected late-afternoon mixing event or station-specific microclimate shift could realistically alter the recorded high enough to move the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日达拉斯的最高温度?
102-103°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$64,148 交易量
$64,148 交易量
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$64,148 交易量
$64,148 交易量
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent late-July heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating, aligned official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus on a daily maximum near 102–103°F at Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game trader consensus on verified observational data rather than earlier model spreads that briefly allowed for 104°F. Historical climatology shows July 31 averages near 97°F but routinely exceeds 100°F under similar patterns, with minimal day-to-day variability once the ridge locks in. Only an unexpected late-afternoon mixing event or station-specific microclimate shift could realistically alter the recorded high enough to move the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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