Latest forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI consensus point to a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Amsterdam on August 1, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects typical late-summer North Sea climatology, where moderate westerly flow and limited continental heat advection keep highs near the 21–22°C seasonal average under stable pressure patterns without strong ridging or southerly advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no incoming fronts or subsidence that could elevate readings to 25°C or above, while overnight cooling and sea-breeze influences further constrain upside risk. Final KNMI observations and any last model updates before resolution will determine the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月1日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
24°C 48%
23°C 36%
25°C 12%
22°C 8%
$36,239 交易量
$36,239 交易量
2026-08-01
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
36%
24°C
48%
25°C
12%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 36%
25°C 12%
22°C 8%
$36,239 交易量
$36,239 交易量
2026-08-01
20°C或以下
$364 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,138 交易量
1%
22°C
$5,168 交易量
8%
23°C
$7,038 交易量
36%
24°C
$8,534 交易量
48%
25°C
$4,597 交易量
12%
26°C
$3,089 交易量
1%
27°C
$2,411 交易量
<1%
28°C
$940 交易量
<1%
29°C
$411 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$547 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI consensus point to a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Amsterdam on August 1, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects typical late-summer North Sea climatology, where moderate westerly flow and limited continental heat advection keep highs near the 21–22°C seasonal average under stable pressure patterns without strong ridging or southerly advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no incoming fronts or subsidence that could elevate readings to 25°C or above, while overnight cooling and sea-breeze influences further constrain upside risk. Final KNMI observations and any last model updates before resolution will determine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$36,239结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI consensus point to a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Amsterdam on August 1, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects typical late-summer North Sea climatology, where moderate westerly flow and limited continental heat advection keep highs near the 21–22°C seasonal average under stable pressure patterns without strong ridging or southerly advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no incoming fronts or subsidence that could elevate readings to 25°C or above, while overnight cooling and sea-breeze influences further constrain upside risk. Final KNMI observations and any last model updates before resolution will determine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,239结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI consensus point to a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Amsterdam on August 1, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects typical late-summer North Sea climatology, where moderate westerly flow and limited continental heat advection keep highs near the 21–22°C seasonal average under stable pressure patterns without strong ridging or southerly advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no incoming fronts or subsidence that could elevate readings to 25°C or above, while overnight cooling and sea-breeze influences further constrain upside risk. Final KNMI observations and any last model updates before resolution will determine the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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