Current high-resolution forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF ensembles point to a maximum of 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 2 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and a weak high-pressure ridge limiting cloud cover and mixing. Minor model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and exact timing of any residual marine influence from the North Sea, which can shave 1°C off peak readings. Historical early-August climatology averages near 22°C, so the current warm anomaly supports the tight 36.5 %–32.5 % market split between 27°C and 26°C while leaving little room for outcomes outside that narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
27°C 37%
26°C 33%
28°C 17%
25°C 14%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
33%
27°C
37%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 33%
28°C 17%
25°C 14%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
33%
27°C
37%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current high-resolution forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF ensembles point to a maximum of 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 2 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and a weak high-pressure ridge limiting cloud cover and mixing. Minor model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and exact timing of any residual marine influence from the North Sea, which can shave 1°C off peak readings. Historical early-August climatology averages near 22°C, so the current warm anomaly supports the tight 36.5 %–32.5 % market split between 27°C and 26°C while leaving little room for outcomes outside that narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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