**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 2, 2026, centers on 26–28°C as the most probable range, with 27°C holding the clearest lead at 44.5%.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, consistent with the broader pattern of above-average warmth across southern England this summer. Prolonged high pressure has favored clear skies and gradual warming, while recent model runs show limited cloud cover or showers that could cap peaks slightly below forecast values. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but the current 1.8°C seasonal anomaly and southerly flow of warmer air support the elevated outlook. Traders appear to weigh the risk of minor forecast adjustments or localized cooling against the strong consensus for mid-to-upper 20s, with probabilities tightening around the 27°C outcome as the day approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日伦敦气温最高？
8月2日伦敦气温最高？
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
最新
$23,967 交易量
最新
$23,967 交易量
2026-08-02
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
最新
$23,967 交易量
最新
$23,967 交易量
2026-08-02
22°C or below
$739 交易量
<1%
23°C
$488 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,409 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,999 交易量
9%
26°C
$5,518 交易量
24%
27°C
$4,460 交易量
45%
28°C
$1,473 交易量
18%
29°C
$2,099 交易量
3%
30°C
$1,644 交易量
1%
31°C
$703 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$435 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 2, 2026, centers on 26–28°C as the most probable range, with 27°C holding the clearest lead at 44.5%.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, consistent with the broader pattern of above-average warmth across southern England this summer.
Prolonged high pressure has favored clear skies and gradual warming, while recent model runs show limited cloud cover or showers that could cap peaks slightly below forecast values. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but the current 1.8°C seasonal anomaly and southerly flow of warmer air support the elevated outlook. Traders appear to weigh the risk of minor forecast adjustments or localized cooling against the strong consensus for mid-to-upper 20s, with probabilities tightening around the 27°C outcome as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$23,967结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 2, 2026, centers on 26–28°C as the most probable range, with 27°C holding the clearest lead at 44.5%.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, consistent with the broader pattern of above-average warmth across southern England this summer.
Prolonged high pressure has favored clear skies and gradual warming, while recent model runs show limited cloud cover or showers that could cap peaks slightly below forecast values. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but the current 1.8°C seasonal anomaly and southerly flow of warmer air support the elevated outlook. Traders appear to weigh the risk of minor forecast adjustments or localized cooling against the strong consensus for mid-to-upper 20s, with probabilities tightening around the 27°C outcome as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,967结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 2, 2026, centers on 26–28°C as the most probable range, with 27°C holding the clearest lead at 44.5%.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, consistent with the broader pattern of above-average warmth across southern England this summer. Prolonged high pressure has favored clear skies and gradual warming, while recent model runs show limited cloud cover or showers that could cap peaks slightly below forecast values. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but the current 1.8°C seasonal anomaly and southerly flow of warmer air support the elevated outlook. Traders appear to weigh the risk of minor forecast adjustments or localized cooling against the strong consensus for mid-to-upper 20s, with probabilities tightening around the 27°C outcome as the day approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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