Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日香港最低气温？
7月31日香港最低气温？
23°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,789 交易量
$69,789 交易量
2026-07-31
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
23°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,789 交易量
$69,789 交易量
2026-07-31
22°C或以下
$7,532 交易量
<1%
23°C
$19,201 交易量
100%
24°C
$11,266 交易量
<1%
25°C
$17,295 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,322 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,380 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,001 交易量
<1%
29°C
$599 交易量
<1%
30°C
$374 交易量
<1%
31°C
$374 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$1,445 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$69,789结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$69,789结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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