**Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami International Airport (KMIA) reached a maximum of 96°F on July 31, 2026, at 1:51 p.m. EDT, establishing a new daily record.** This reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time station data over forecast models. A persistent subtropical ridge and ongoing 2026 heat wave—marked by elevated heat-index hours and repeated daily records—drove surface temperatures above the 91°F July normal. Afternoon convection and humidity capped further warming, preventing a push into the upper 90s or beyond. Historical context shows prior July 31 records at 95°F (1986, 1999), making this a clear but not unprecedented outlier under current conditions. Realistic challenges remain limited: minor post-event quality-control adjustments to the official record or rare discrepancies between airport and urban sensors could theoretically shift the bin, though NWS verification makes such revisions improbable. The market's near-certain pricing underscores how skin-in-the-game consensus rapidly incorporates authoritative observational evidence once available.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日迈阿密的最高温度？
7月31日迈阿密的最高温度？
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$48,008 交易量
$48,008 交易量
2026-07-31
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$48,008 交易量
$48,008 交易量
2026-07-31
87°F或以下
$760 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$3,026 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$2,542 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$6,733 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$7,688 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$8,723 交易量
100%
98-99°F
$13,306 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$2,338 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$1,220 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$1,065 交易量
<1%
106°F或更高
$606 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami International Airport (KMIA) reached a maximum of 96°F on July 31, 2026, at 1:51 p.m. EDT, establishing a new daily record.** This reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time station data over forecast models.
A persistent subtropical ridge and ongoing 2026 heat wave—marked by elevated heat-index hours and repeated daily records—drove surface temperatures above the 91°F July normal. Afternoon convection and humidity capped further warming, preventing a push into the upper 90s or beyond. Historical context shows prior July 31 records at 95°F (1986, 1999), making this a clear but not unprecedented outlier under current conditions.
Realistic challenges remain limited: minor post-event quality-control adjustments to the official record or rare discrepancies between airport and urban sensors could theoretically shift the bin, though NWS verification makes such revisions improbable. The market's near-certain pricing underscores how skin-in-the-game consensus rapidly incorporates authoritative observational evidence once available.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$48,008结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami International Airport (KMIA) reached a maximum of 96°F on July 31, 2026, at 1:51 p.m. EDT, establishing a new daily record.** This reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time station data over forecast models.
A persistent subtropical ridge and ongoing 2026 heat wave—marked by elevated heat-index hours and repeated daily records—drove surface temperatures above the 91°F July normal. Afternoon convection and humidity capped further warming, preventing a push into the upper 90s or beyond. Historical context shows prior July 31 records at 95°F (1986, 1999), making this a clear but not unprecedented outlier under current conditions.
Realistic challenges remain limited: minor post-event quality-control adjustments to the official record or rare discrepancies between airport and urban sensors could theoretically shift the bin, though NWS verification makes such revisions improbable. The market's near-certain pricing underscores how skin-in-the-game consensus rapidly incorporates authoritative observational evidence once available.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48,008结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET**Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami International Airport (KMIA) reached a maximum of 96°F on July 31, 2026, at 1:51 p.m. EDT, establishing a new daily record.** This reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time station data over forecast models. A persistent subtropical ridge and ongoing 2026 heat wave—marked by elevated heat-index hours and repeated daily records—drove surface temperatures above the 91°F July normal. Afternoon convection and humidity capped further warming, preventing a push into the upper 90s or beyond. Historical context shows prior July 31 records at 95°F (1986, 1999), making this a clear but not unprecedented outlier under current conditions. Realistic challenges remain limited: minor post-event quality-control adjustments to the official record or rare discrepancies between airport and urban sensors could theoretically shift the bin, though NWS verification makes such revisions improbable. The market's near-certain pricing underscores how skin-in-the-game consensus rapidly incorporates authoritative observational evidence once available.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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