Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月2日的最低温度？
纽约市8月2日的最低温度？
66-67°F 30%
68-69°F 30%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 23%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
63华氏度或更低
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
1%
66-67°F 30%
68-69°F 30%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 23%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
63华氏度或更低
$22 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$25 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$37 交易量
30%
68-69°F
$29 交易量
30%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
19%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
23%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
26%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
21%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
18%
80-81°F
$22 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$135结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$135结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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