Latest numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and regional Italian services point to a peak of 35–36°C in Milan on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits stronger advection of heat. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 59.5% implied probability and 35°C at 36.5%, while keeping 37°C at just 3%. Urban heat-island effects and exact station siting introduce minor uncertainty in the official maximum, but current observational trends and afternoon model runs reinforce the narrow 35–36°C window rather than extremes above 38°C or below 34°C. Final resolution depends on verified end-of-day readings from Milan’s primary meteorological stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日米兰的最高温度？
8月1日米兰的最高温度？
36°C 59%
35°C 37%
37°C 3.0%
34°C 1.9%
最新
$39,219 交易量
最新
$39,219 交易量
2026-08-01
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
37%
36°C
59%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 59%
35°C 37%
37°C 3.0%
34°C 1.9%
最新
$39,219 交易量
最新
$39,219 交易量
2026-08-01
33°C or below
$2,408 交易量
<1%
34°C
$8,856 交易量
2%
35°C
$9,066 交易量
37%
36°C
$6,299 交易量
59%
37°C
$6,348 交易量
3%
38°C
$4,054 交易量
1%
39°C
$905 交易量
<1%
40°C
$513 交易量
<1%
41°C
$288 交易量
<1%
42°C
$268 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and regional Italian services point to a peak of 35–36°C in Milan on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits stronger advection of heat. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 59.5% implied probability and 35°C at 36.5%, while keeping 37°C at just 3%. Urban heat-island effects and exact station siting introduce minor uncertainty in the official maximum, but current observational trends and afternoon model runs reinforce the narrow 35–36°C window rather than extremes above 38°C or below 34°C. Final resolution depends on verified end-of-day readings from Milan’s primary meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$39,219结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and regional Italian services point to a peak of 35–36°C in Milan on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits stronger advection of heat. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 59.5% implied probability and 35°C at 36.5%, while keeping 37°C at just 3%. Urban heat-island effects and exact station siting introduce minor uncertainty in the official maximum, but current observational trends and afternoon model runs reinforce the narrow 35–36°C window rather than extremes above 38°C or below 34°C. Final resolution depends on verified end-of-day readings from Milan’s primary meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,219结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and regional Italian services point to a peak of 35–36°C in Milan on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits stronger advection of heat. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 59.5% implied probability and 35°C at 36.5%, while keeping 37°C at just 3%. Urban heat-island effects and exact station siting introduce minor uncertainty in the official maximum, but current observational trends and afternoon model runs reinforce the narrow 35–36°C window rather than extremes above 38°C or below 34°C. Final resolution depends on verified end-of-day readings from Milan’s primary meteorological stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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