Recent forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions and light winds over Milan on August 2, supporting peak temperatures near 36°C amid a broader heat pattern across northern Italy. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects uncertainty in local maxima driven by urban heat island effects, variable boundary-layer mixing, and slight model spreads in daytime insolation and humidity. High-pressure dominance limits cloud cover and precipitation, while historical August baselines near 30°C underscore the role of current synoptic setup in elevating readings. New short-range model runs expected overnight could refine the exact threshold as landfall timing for any subtle frontal influences approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日米兰最高气温?
34°C 35%
33°C 27%
35°C 23%
36°C 8%
$12,748 交易量
$12,748 交易量
31°C or below
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
27%
34°C
35%
35°C
23%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
34°C 35%
33°C 27%
35°C 23%
36°C 8%
$12,748 交易量
$12,748 交易量
31°C or below
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
27%
34°C
35%
35°C
23%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions and light winds over Milan on August 2, supporting peak temperatures near 36°C amid a broader heat pattern across northern Italy. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects uncertainty in local maxima driven by urban heat island effects, variable boundary-layer mixing, and slight model spreads in daytime insolation and humidity. High-pressure dominance limits cloud cover and precipitation, while historical August baselines near 30°C underscore the role of current synoptic setup in elevating readings. New short-range model runs expected overnight could refine the exact threshold as landfall timing for any subtle frontal influences approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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