Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum because official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a peak in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat-island effect support daytime warming, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a possible sea breeze introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages near 31°C with frequent 33–36°C readings provide context, yet the tight market spread underscores how small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can decide the exact threshold on a single day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日东京气温最高？
8月1日东京气温最高？
35°C 53%
34°C 15%
36°C 12%
37°C 4%
$58,520 交易量
$58,520 交易量
2026-08-01
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
22%
35°C
53%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 53%
34°C 15%
36°C 12%
37°C 4%
$58,520 交易量
$58,520 交易量
2026-08-01
29°C or below
$2,224 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5,159 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,423 交易量
<1%
32°C
$13,695 交易量
<1%
33°C
$7,807 交易量
<1%
34°C
$5,557 交易量
22%
35°C
$3,780 交易量
53%
36°C
$4,463 交易量
12%
37°C
$4,472 交易量
4%
38°C
$5,494 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$3,447 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum because official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a peak in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat-island effect support daytime warming, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a possible sea breeze introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages near 31°C with frequent 33–36°C readings provide context, yet the tight market spread underscores how small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can decide the exact threshold on a single day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$58,520结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum because official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a peak in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat-island effect support daytime warming, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a possible sea breeze introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages near 31°C with frequent 33–36°C readings provide context, yet the tight market spread underscores how small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can decide the exact threshold on a single day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,520结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTraders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum because official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a peak in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat-island effect support daytime warming, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a possible sea breeze introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages near 31°C with frequent 33–36°C readings provide context, yet the tight market spread underscores how small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can decide the exact threshold on a single day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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