Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a maximum near 23°C for Cape Town on August 3 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, serving as the main driver behind the market's tight spread among 21–23°C outcomes. Typical August highs average 17–18°C in the city's Mediterranean winter climate, so this elevated projection reflects transient high-pressure ridging and reduced marine influence. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, creating the observed clustering around 20–23°C with lower probabilities for extremes. Updated runs from SAWS and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日开普敦气温最高?
21°C 28%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 16%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
16%
21°C
28%
22°C
25%
23°C
20%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 28%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 16%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
16%
21°C
28%
22°C
25%
23°C
20%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a maximum near 23°C for Cape Town on August 3 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, serving as the main driver behind the market's tight spread among 21–23°C outcomes. Typical August highs average 17–18°C in the city's Mediterranean winter climate, so this elevated projection reflects transient high-pressure ridging and reduced marine influence. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, creating the observed clustering around 20–23°C with lower probabilities for extremes. Updated runs from SAWS and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题