Trader consensus in this market clusters tightly around 27–29°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show peak surface temperatures in Istanbul on 3 August hovering near the long-term August climatological average of 28–29°C under stable high pressure. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and local sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus, which can trim or add 1–2°C to maximum readings. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely tighten the distribution before settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
29°C 32%
28°C 32%
27°C 30%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
30%
28°C
32%
29°C
32%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32℃
3%
33°C或更高
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 32%
27°C 30%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$1 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
9%
27°C
$0 交易量
30%
28°C
$0 交易量
32%
29°C
$20 交易量
32%
30°C
$0 交易量
10%
31°C
$0 交易量
4%
32℃
$0 交易量
3%
33°C或更高
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market clusters tightly around 27–29°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show peak surface temperatures in Istanbul on 3 August hovering near the long-term August climatological average of 28–29°C under stable high pressure. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and local sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus, which can trim or add 1–2°C to maximum readings. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely tighten the distribution before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$31结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market clusters tightly around 27–29°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show peak surface temperatures in Istanbul on 3 August hovering near the long-term August climatological average of 28–29°C under stable high pressure. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and local sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus, which can trim or add 1–2°C to maximum readings. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely tighten the distribution before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this market clusters tightly around 27–29°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show peak surface temperatures in Istanbul on 3 August hovering near the long-term August climatological average of 28–29°C under stable high pressure. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and local sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus, which can trim or add 1–2°C to maximum readings. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely tighten the distribution before settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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