Trader consensus around 27°C as the day's peak at Istanbul Airport reflects typical early-August climatology in the city's Mediterranean regime, where average daily highs hover near 28°C amid moderating Black Sea and Marmara breezes. Current forecast guidance and model consensus point to stable high pressure supporting a maximum in the 26–27°C range, with limited potential for brief spikes to 28°C under clear skies. Historical NOAA records for the site show early-August maxima clustering around these values absent anomalous heat advection, and no recent shifts in sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns have altered that baseline. Resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with updates from monitoring agencies expected to confirm the outcome by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月1日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
27°C 72%
26°C 20%
28°C 6%
29°C 2%
最新
$13,290 交易量
最新
$13,290 交易量
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
20%
27°C
72%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 72%
26°C 20%
28°C 6%
29°C 2%
最新
$13,290 交易量
最新
$13,290 交易量
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
$234 交易量
<1%
23°C
$549 交易量
<1%
24°C
$537 交易量
<1%
25°C
$747 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,980 交易量
20%
27°C
$4,553 交易量
72%
28°C
$2,584 交易量
6%
29°C
$985 交易量
2%
30°C
$365 交易量
<1%
31°C
$518 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$238 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 27°C as the day's peak at Istanbul Airport reflects typical early-August climatology in the city's Mediterranean regime, where average daily highs hover near 28°C amid moderating Black Sea and Marmara breezes. Current forecast guidance and model consensus point to stable high pressure supporting a maximum in the 26–27°C range, with limited potential for brief spikes to 28°C under clear skies. Historical NOAA records for the site show early-August maxima clustering around these values absent anomalous heat advection, and no recent shifts in sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns have altered that baseline. Resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with updates from monitoring agencies expected to confirm the outcome by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$13,290结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 27°C as the day's peak at Istanbul Airport reflects typical early-August climatology in the city's Mediterranean regime, where average daily highs hover near 28°C amid moderating Black Sea and Marmara breezes. Current forecast guidance and model consensus point to stable high pressure supporting a maximum in the 26–27°C range, with limited potential for brief spikes to 28°C under clear skies. Historical NOAA records for the site show early-August maxima clustering around these values absent anomalous heat advection, and no recent shifts in sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns have altered that baseline. Resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with updates from monitoring agencies expected to confirm the outcome by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,290结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 27°C as the day's peak at Istanbul Airport reflects typical early-August climatology in the city's Mediterranean regime, where average daily highs hover near 28°C amid moderating Black Sea and Marmara breezes. Current forecast guidance and model consensus point to stable high pressure supporting a maximum in the 26–27°C range, with limited potential for brief spikes to 28°C under clear skies. Historical NOAA records for the site show early-August maxima clustering around these values absent anomalous heat advection, and no recent shifts in sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns have altered that baseline. Resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with updates from monitoring agencies expected to confirm the outcome by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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