Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen experiencing thundery showers and high humidity on August 1, which cap daytime maxima near 28–30 °C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Cloud cover and easterly winds near 5–10 mph further moderate peaks, while the urban heat island effect and residual moisture from regional monsoon patterns support the tight 36.5 % market-implied odds on both 29 °C and 30 °C. Slight model divergence in shower timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of that band, with any earlier clearing potentially pushing readings toward 30 °C or beyond.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日深圳气温最高？
8月1日深圳气温最高？
30°C 37%
29°C 28%
31°C 21.3%
32°C 6.3%
最新
$58,033 交易量
最新
$58,033 交易量
2026-08-01
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
28%
30°C
37%
31°C
21%
32°C
6%
33°C或更高
2%
30°C 37%
29°C 28%
31°C 21.3%
32°C 6.3%
最新
$58,033 交易量
最新
$58,033 交易量
2026-08-01
23°C或以下
$1,990 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,522 交易量
<1%
25°C
$10,332 交易量
<1%
26°C
$8,416 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,433 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,155 交易量
3%
29°C
$3,915 交易量
28%
30°C
$4,675 交易量
37%
31°C
$4,711 交易量
21%
32°C
$3,422 交易量
6%
33°C或更高
$9,462 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen experiencing thundery showers and high humidity on August 1, which cap daytime maxima near 28–30 °C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Cloud cover and easterly winds near 5–10 mph further moderate peaks, while the urban heat island effect and residual moisture from regional monsoon patterns support the tight 36.5 % market-implied odds on both 29 °C and 30 °C. Slight model divergence in shower timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of that band, with any earlier clearing potentially pushing readings toward 30 °C or beyond.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$58,033结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen experiencing thundery showers and high humidity on August 1, which cap daytime maxima near 28–30 °C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Cloud cover and easterly winds near 5–10 mph further moderate peaks, while the urban heat island effect and residual moisture from regional monsoon patterns support the tight 36.5 % market-implied odds on both 29 °C and 30 °C. Slight model divergence in shower timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of that band, with any earlier clearing potentially pushing readings toward 30 °C or beyond.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,033结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen experiencing thundery showers and high humidity on August 1, which cap daytime maxima near 28–30 °C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Cloud cover and easterly winds near 5–10 mph further moderate peaks, while the urban heat island effect and residual moisture from regional monsoon patterns support the tight 36.5 % market-implied odds on both 29 °C and 30 °C. Slight model divergence in shower timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of that band, with any earlier clearing potentially pushing readings toward 30 °C or beyond.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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