Official meteorological observations from London's primary weather stations recorded a peak temperature of exactly 25°C on July 31, establishing the market resolution and underpinning the complete 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading aligns with verified surface data under stable summer atmospheric conditions, consistent with regional pressure patterns and typical July baselines around 20–22°C from long-term Met Office records. The dominant trader consensus reflects real capital commitment to the confirmed measurement, with model runs and station reports showing strong agreement and no upward revisions. Only an unanticipated post-event data correction or localized station anomaly would realistically challenge the result, though such adjustments remain rare in established monitoring systems.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日伦敦气温最高?
25°C 100.0%
$140,406 交易量
$140,406 交易量
25°C
100%
25°C 100.0%
$140,406 交易量
$140,406 交易量
25°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official meteorological observations from London's primary weather stations recorded a peak temperature of exactly 25°C on July 31, establishing the market resolution and underpinning the complete 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading aligns with verified surface data under stable summer atmospheric conditions, consistent with regional pressure patterns and typical July baselines around 20–22°C from long-term Met Office records. The dominant trader consensus reflects real capital commitment to the confirmed measurement, with model runs and station reports showing strong agreement and no upward revisions. Only an unanticipated post-event data correction or localized station anomaly would realistically challenge the result, though such adjustments remain rare in established monitoring systems.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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