Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for August 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity typical of the summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (60% implied probability) and 24°C (35%), reflecting trader consensus on model consensus rather than historical August averages near 26°C. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric setup has emerged in the latest updates to shift expectations, though slight model spread in steering flows and rainfall timing maintains modest probability for a 23°C reading. Upcoming official observations and any revised forecast runs will refine resolution as the day concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日香港最低气温？
8月1日香港最低气温？
25°C 60%
24°C 35%
23°C 6%
22°C <1%
最新
$18,088 交易量
最新
$18,088 交易量
2026-08-01
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
35%
25°C
60%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 60%
24°C 35%
23°C 6%
22°C <1%
最新
$18,088 交易量
最新
$18,088 交易量
2026-08-01
21°C或以下
$1,175 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,874 交易量
1%
23°C
$2,783 交易量
6%
24°C
$2,560 交易量
35%
25°C
$3,068 交易量
60%
26°C
$4,096 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,047 交易量
<1%
28°C
$553 交易量
<1%
29°C
$326 交易量
<1%
30°C
$385 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for August 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity typical of the summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (60% implied probability) and 24°C (35%), reflecting trader consensus on model consensus rather than historical August averages near 26°C. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric setup has emerged in the latest updates to shift expectations, though slight model spread in steering flows and rainfall timing maintains modest probability for a 23°C reading. Upcoming official observations and any revised forecast runs will refine resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$18,088结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for August 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity typical of the summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (60% implied probability) and 24°C (35%), reflecting trader consensus on model consensus rather than historical August averages near 26°C. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric setup has emerged in the latest updates to shift expectations, though slight model spread in steering flows and rainfall timing maintains modest probability for a 23°C reading. Upcoming official observations and any revised forecast runs will refine resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,088结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for August 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity typical of the summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (60% implied probability) and 24°C (35%), reflecting trader consensus on model consensus rather than historical August averages near 26°C. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric setup has emerged in the latest updates to shift expectations, though slight model spread in steering flows and rainfall timing maintains modest probability for a 23°C reading. Upcoming official observations and any revised forecast runs will refine resolution as the day concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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