Trader consensus on the 100–101°F outcome for Austin’s July 31 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting midsummer conditions typical for central Texas, where July averages hover near 100–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Recent verification data and guidance consistently favored the warmer side of normal without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and observed heat indices that can exceed actual air temperatures due to humidity. A stronger-than-expected cold front or widespread convection could have lowered the daily maximum, though such developments remained unlikely given the stable subtropical ridge pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日奥斯汀的最高温度？
7月31日奥斯汀的最高温度？
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F或以下 <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$51,435 交易量
$51,435 交易量
2026-07-31
91°F或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F或以下 <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$51,435 交易量
$51,435 交易量
2026-07-31
91°F或以下
$1,170 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,170 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$2,804 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$11,446 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$11,685 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$10,270 交易量
100%
102-103°F
$8,044 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$2,260 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$1,281 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$744 交易量
<1%
110°F或更高
$561 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 100–101°F outcome for Austin’s July 31 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting midsummer conditions typical for central Texas, where July averages hover near 100–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Recent verification data and guidance consistently favored the warmer side of normal without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and observed heat indices that can exceed actual air temperatures due to humidity. A stronger-than-expected cold front or widespread convection could have lowered the daily maximum, though such developments remained unlikely given the stable subtropical ridge pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
交易量
$51,435结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 100–101°F outcome for Austin’s July 31 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting midsummer conditions typical for central Texas, where July averages hover near 100–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Recent verification data and guidance consistently favored the warmer side of normal without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and observed heat indices that can exceed actual air temperatures due to humidity. A stronger-than-expected cold front or widespread convection could have lowered the daily maximum, though such developments remained unlikely given the stable subtropical ridge pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,435结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETTrader consensus on the 100–101°F outcome for Austin’s July 31 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting midsummer conditions typical for central Texas, where July averages hover near 100–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Recent verification data and guidance consistently favored the warmer side of normal without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and observed heat indices that can exceed actual air temperatures due to humidity. A stronger-than-expected cold front or widespread convection could have lowered the daily maximum, though such developments remained unlikely given the stable subtropical ridge pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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