Trader consensus has converged fully on a 72–73 °F high for San Francisco on July 31 because official observations at KSFO confirmed a peak in that narrow range. Persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling that kept adjacent Pacific waters near their seasonal 56–58 °F climatological mean, limited daytime insolation and held maxima close to the long-term July average of 70–71 °F. Minor warming from reduced fog depth and light offshore influence pushed the reading just above the mean without breaching the next bin. Any realistic deviation would have required a stronger high-pressure ridge or suppressed marine intrusion—developments that did not materialize in the final 48-hour model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日旧金山气温最高？
7月31日旧金山气温最高？
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F或更低 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$35,438 交易量
$35,438 交易量
2026-07-31
63°F或更低
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F或更低 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$35,438 交易量
$35,438 交易量
2026-07-31
63°F或更低
$819 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$546 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$8,084 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$2,344 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$4,059 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$5,795 交易量
100%
74-75°F
$2,645 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$5,418 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$3,666 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,539 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$523 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged fully on a 72–73 °F high for San Francisco on July 31 because official observations at KSFO confirmed a peak in that narrow range. Persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling that kept adjacent Pacific waters near their seasonal 56–58 °F climatological mean, limited daytime insolation and held maxima close to the long-term July average of 70–71 °F. Minor warming from reduced fog depth and light offshore influence pushed the reading just above the mean without breaching the next bin. Any realistic deviation would have required a stronger high-pressure ridge or suppressed marine intrusion—developments that did not materialize in the final 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
交易量
$35,438结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged fully on a 72–73 °F high for San Francisco on July 31 because official observations at KSFO confirmed a peak in that narrow range. Persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling that kept adjacent Pacific waters near their seasonal 56–58 °F climatological mean, limited daytime insolation and held maxima close to the long-term July average of 70–71 °F. Minor warming from reduced fog depth and light offshore influence pushed the reading just above the mean without breaching the next bin. Any realistic deviation would have required a stronger high-pressure ridge or suppressed marine intrusion—developments that did not materialize in the final 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,438结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETTrader consensus has converged fully on a 72–73 °F high for San Francisco on July 31 because official observations at KSFO confirmed a peak in that narrow range. Persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling that kept adjacent Pacific waters near their seasonal 56–58 °F climatological mean, limited daytime insolation and held maxima close to the long-term July average of 70–71 °F. Minor warming from reduced fog depth and light offshore influence pushed the reading just above the mean without breaching the next bin. Any realistic deviation would have required a stronger high-pressure ridge or suppressed marine intrusion—developments that did not materialize in the final 48-hour model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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